Canadian Greenback Technical Forecast: USD/CAD threatens main setback

Canadian Greenback Technical Forecast: USD/CAD Weekly Buying and selling Ranges

• Canadian Greenback Replace Technical Buying and selling Ranges – Weekly Chart
• USD/CAD pullback bounces again from early assist – danger for deep shock stays
• Help 1.3512, 1.3370/84, 1.3224 – Resistance 1.3971 (Key), 1.4098, 1.4336

The US greenback fell greater than 3.4% in opposition to the Canadian greenback, with the USD/CAD recording a second consecutive weekly decline final week. The three-day rally has already recovered greater than 1% from the lows and regardless of the beneficial properties, the pair stays weak in November, after reversing the confluence resistance with main occasion danger on faucet this week. These are the up to date targets and invalidation ranges which are necessary on the USD/CAD weekly technical worth chart for November. Evaluate my newest technique webinar for an in-depth evaluation of this Looney setup and extra.

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Canadian Greenback Value Chart – USD/CAD Weekly

Chart ready by Michael Boutros, Technical Strategist; USD/CAD on Tradingview

notes: In my earlier Canadian Greenback Weekly Technical Forecast, I famous that, “The USD/CAD breakout has now prolonged into confluence pattern resistance – danger for potential topside exhaustion/worth change on this vary.” Areas in focus in March 2020 upside-down 1.3971 and outlined that week’s excessive (registered excessive at 1.3977).

The next pullback reversed preliminary assist on the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement degree of the October vary lows / 2021 degree final week. 1.3502/12 And whereas the broad outlook stays constructive, the chance of a deeper correction stays, whereas annual highs stay week beneath 1.3881,

October vary is shifting into November – search for breakout. A each day shut beneath confluent assist will spotlight subsequent targets on the 2018 high-week shut 1.3370 and 38.2% retracement at 1.3225– Potential exhaustion/worth change for each areas of curiosity is reached.

floor degree: USD/CAD stays weak to a deep pullback on the November open inside a broader uptrend. From a buying and selling standpoint, be looking out for a low exhaustion subsequent month – a breach/shut above eventual 1.3971 The 2021 uptrend must be resumed in direction of 1.41. Needless to say this can be a large week of occasion danger on faucet with FOMC rate of interest choices, non-farm payrolls (NFP) and Canada employment knowledge on faucet initially of the month- keep tight on the finish of the month. I’ll publish an up to date Canadian Greenback Shore-Time period Value Outlook as soon as now we have additional readability on near-term USD/CAD technical buying and selling ranges.

For a full breakdown of Michael’s buying and selling technique, overview him Foundations of Technical Evaluation Collection on Creating Buying and selling Technique

Canadian Greenback Dealer Sentiment – ​​USD/CAD Value Chart

• abstract of IG Consumer Sentiment Reveals that merchants are net-short USD/CAD – the ratio is -1.61 (38.35 merchants are lengthy) – typically quick Studying
• Lengthy positions 11.81% larger than yesterday and 14.77% larger than final week
• Brief positions are 18.78% larger than yesterday and 10.68% larger than final week
• We typically take the other view of crowd sentiment, and the truth that merchants are pure-short means that USD/CAD costs might proceed to rise. Merchants are extra net-short than yesterday however much less net-short than final week. The mixture of the present scenario and up to date adjustments provides us one other blended USD/CAD buying and selling bias from a sentiment standpoint.

US/Canada Financial Calendar

financial calendar , Newest financial developments and upcoming occasion dangers.

Energetic Weekly Technical Chart

— Written by Michael Boutros, Technical Strategist at DailyFX

observe michael on twitter @MBForex